from the News Desk at The Cradle, August 7, 2026 Eight of the world’s largest oil majors reported almost $93 billion in profits over three months to the end of June, nearly double their combined earnings from a year earlier, The Guardian reported on 4 August. The April to June period …
Read More »SSM West Asia Update, August 2026
Dear Friends, If the war in southwest Asia, AKA the Middle East, is not as hot as earlier, it is because Iran has fought the US and Israel to a standstill. The US is running low on munitions and in any case has learned that further use of those munitions …
Read More »Conflicts Forum Occasional Sitrep: The Third Phase of the Iran War
by Alastair Crooke, published on Conflicts Forum, July 24, 2026 The Third Phase of the War — Iran believes it has succeeded in achieving its strategic goals in this round of the war / AnsarAllah’s Blockade on Saudi Arabia — ‘Blockade for blockade’ / A more vengeful President Trump; diplomatic resolution …
Read More »Iranian FM Abbas Aragchi Talks About the War, Iran’s Decision Making Process and More
This is a very insightful interview with The Iranian Foreign Minister, Abbas Aragchi. He talks a lot about Iran’s perspective on the buildup to war, and, near the end of the interview, describes his own experience of the attacks that killed many of his fellow officials on the day the …
Read More »Yemen Closes the Other Gate: Bab al-Mandab Turns Against Riyadh
from The News Desk at The Cradle, July 22,2026 As global attention remains fixed on the Strait of Hormuz, another chokepoint is being disrupted: Bab al-Mandab. Located between the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, and squeezed between Djibouti and Yemen, the strait carries 12 percent of global trade and one-quarter …
Read More »After the War: A Cautious Gulf Reset
by Fouad Ibrahim, published on The Cradle, July 2, 2026 The US-Israeli war on Iran launched in February 2026 may ultimately mark a turning point in the strategic history of the Persian Gulf. While the immediate impact was visible in military damage, economic strain, and heightened insecurity, a quieter political …
Read More »Iran Remains Strong in the Face of U.S. Aggression
Will the War With Iran Resume?
Will the War in Iran Resume? ….Yes, but with the U.S. on the sideline…. by Paul Larudee, published on Substack, June 21, 2026 Donald Trump has accepted the fact that the US cannot win a war with Iran. In fact, he will probably agree that it was a mistake, though …
Read More »Iran Takes Its Chances with War
by Alistair Crooke, published on Conflicts Forum, June 4, 2026 The US war with Iran has moved beyond its initial phase to an emerging new one — one in which Iran implicitly stakes its chances on the next phase being war. Most likely this will be in abbreviated episodes of …
Read More »Bahrain Intensifies Crackdown on Shia Communities, Arrests Dozens Over Alleged IRGC Links
from the News Desk at the Cradle, May 9, 2026 The Gulf monarchy recently expelled lawmakers from parliament for opposing the crackdown that stripped dozens of Bahrainis of their citizenship Bahrain’s Interior Ministry announced on 9 May the arrest of 41 citizens, including multiple Shia religious leaders, over alleged ties …
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